The second iteration of the $1,000,000 vaccine debate has been submitted!
Here is our submission (scroll down to "Second Iteration")
https://t.co/4kaqQNXfZz
https://t.co/Ox7vNFHROY
Jan 06, 2025
Rootclaim.
Calculating reality
Read and share ideas from independent voices, world-class publications, and experts from around the globe. Everyone's welcome.
How did Mahsa Amini die?
Published: Dec 11, 2022
1Hypotheses Considered
Calculated Results
1
Natural Causes: Amini died as a result of a heart attack or stroke (not induced by violence).
71%
2
Involuntary Manslaughter: Amini was struck by the Guidance Patrol, leading to an unlikely nor intended outcome.
15%
3
Murder: Amini was intentionally beaten to death by the Guidance Patrol, for example for religious reasons.
14%
Mentions
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Who killed Al Jazeera Journalist Shireen Abu Akleh?
Published: Aug 04, 2022
2Hypotheses Considered
Calculated Results
1
IDF Aimed Fire: An IDF shooter shot Shireen, not due to crossfire.
87%
2
Palestinian Assassination: A Palestinian militant assassinated Shireen.
8%
3
Palestinian Mistaken Identity: A Palestinian militant mistook the journalists for IDF soldiers.
3.1%
Does Putin Have Cancer?
Published: Jun 15, 2022
2Hypotheses Considered
Calculated Results
1
No cancer: No, Putin does not have cancer, and has not had cancer in the last 10 years.
86%
2
Any cancer: Yes, Putin either has, or had within the last 10 years, any type of cancer (excluding thyroid).
13%
3
Thyroid cancer: Yes, Putin either has, or had in the last 10 years, thyroid cancer.
0.5%
We're automating Rootclaim! 🤖
Rootclaim's team is currently fully dedicated to teaching AI models the art of probabilistic inference, and will likely not be publishing new analyses in the meantime. If this effort is successful, we will be able to provide accurate and transparent analyses of every public controversy immediately as it happens - a service we think humanity desperately needs. Follow us on X to be updated on our progress